Wednesday, April 23, 2008

Who Won Pennyslvania?--One Word: McCain

Senator McCain won because the results in Pennsylvania does not change the nature of the race—it’s still Senator Obama’s to lose.

What Pennsylvania did was to legitimize the republicans “kitchen sink” attacks on Obama because Senator Clinton has given the republicans “cover” to make these negative attacks: scare tactics, attacks upon Obama’s leadership and his distaste for confrontation, e.g. politics as usual.

After the dust settles in Indiana and especially in North Carolina, where Senator Obama will hand Senator Clinton a worst drubbing than he took in Pennsylvania, the race will be right back where it was pre-Pennsylvania. Moreover, Clinton will have gone more negative, forcing Obama to retaliate—and McCain will win again.

More and more this race on the democratic side is presenting the Super delegates with the choice that they do not want to make: settle the nomination. But the sooner they do so the sooner democrats can define Senator McCain—including his off-color smiles, his age, his “let them eat cake” real belief, etc. She can't catch him in pledged delegates or the popular vote because even she agreed that Florida and Michigan would not count--oh, that was when she was the inevitable nominee.

The one hot-button issue that the republicans could have had, illegal immigration, does not exist because there is not a dime’s worth of difference on this issue between Obama and McCain.

So, the November election will pit an old man who has many lapses in memory against a middle-age man (he’s only seen as young because McCain is so old) who is so in love with his own rhetoric that he sometimes forget that it is a political campaign that he is in and not an intellectual pursuit. Obama too frequently lapses and forgets that he is a politician not an analysis.

If the old man wins, the country might go to hell in a hand basket since he wants to bomb Iran and to continue the American War in Iraq indefinitely. If the middle-age man wins, the youth, the intellectuals, and the blacks will hold their breath to see if any politician in American can truly make a difference.

Houston…we have a problem.

Stand by….

--------------------------------------------
©All Rights Reserved.
Reproduction is permitted provided credit is given.
Lenton Aikins, Ph.D., J.D.
Dr. Aikins has traveled widely, lived abroad in Europe and Latin America, recently spending three years in Costa Rica as Director of a Spanish Language school. He holds a Ph. D. in Political Science from University of Southern California, a Juris Doctor in Law from Western State University, College of Law. He is the author of many articles and of While African Americans Slept: Leadership by Parasites, now available at: http://lentonaikins.com, and available in all bookstores July 1, 2008. You can read his blog: Go to: http://lentonaikins.com and click on blog.

No comments: